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Second Half Score and Lineup Prediction Contest Roundup

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The Vancouver Whitecaps 2019 season is over, so that means our ‘Guess the Starting XI and Final Score’ prediction contest has concluded as well. We recap the final standings and the individual stats.

Another season has concluded and that means it is time to recap the season. First off, thanks to Tres_Tristes_Tigres, who took over calculating everyone’s scores half way through the season. They were a tremendous help and made this much more manageable. Second, thanks to all of you for participating in the contest. With the poor on-field performance, we had fewer people making predictions. By the end of the season we only had 17 people making regular predictions. Still, as edmondk noted, it gave something to look forward to with each match, which became increasingly more difficult as the season wound down. Without further adieu, let’s get to the numbers.

First, we will start with the final match of the season against RSL. For the recap we go to Tres_Tristes_Tigres

Match #34 - Real Salt Lake

Rank User Total Lineup Bonus Winner Score Possession
Rank User Total Lineup Bonus Winner Score Possession
1 GreyHouseEffect 16 10 1 5 0 0
2 edmondk 15 10 1 0 1 3
2 Colombian_Southsider77 15 10 1 0 1 3
4 chuckbiscuits 13 9 0 0 1 3
4 CDPrior 13 9 0 0 1 3
6 rtomsheck 12 10 1 0 1 0
6 AshMan77 12 8 0 0 1 3
6 tecate 12 9 0 0 0 3
6 Island Life 12 9 0 0 0 3
6 CascadiaCrunchFC 12 10 1 0 1 0
6 AtlantisB 12 8 0 0 1 3
12 Isabelt 9 9 0 0 0 0
12 hbamaral 9 8 0 0 1 0
12 AmandaC 9 9 0 0 0 0
12 Tres_Tristes_Tigres 9 9 0 0 0 0

After an unbeaten run that was capped off with an away win against Zlatan and the Galaxy, many of us were feeling quite optimistic about the home (and season) finale against Real Salt Lake. As has often been the case this year, our optimism was thoroughly punished.

GreyHouseEffect earned the highest score in the final match of this year’s contest. They won largely through being the only person immune to the optimism surrounding the Caps’ chances in the game, correctly predicted the loss. Two others predicted a draw while the vast majority wrongly went with a win prediction.

Despite the abundance of optimism and win predictions, a majority still correctly predicted a possession stat within 44%. It says a lot about the season that even riding a high we couldn’t fathom the Caps keeping a majority of possession at home.

Most of us also predicted that RSL would score one goal. Unfortunately, everyone also predicted that the Caps would score as well.

Second, we have the September/October Standings.

September/October Standings

Rank User Overall Houston Columbus LA RSL
Rank User Overall Houston Columbus LA RSL
1 Columbian_Southsider77 60 19 15 11 15
2 AshMan77 58 17 19 10 12
2 Island Life 58 22 13 11 12
4 CascadiaCrunchFC 55 13 20 10 12
5 CDPrior 50 14 13 10 13
5 tecate 50 15 12 11 12
7 AmandaC 49 10 22 8 9
8 edmondk 48 9 13 11 15
8 Isabelt 48 9 20 10 9
8 rtomsheck 48 17 9 10 12
11 AtlantisB 46 15 8 11 12
11 hbamaral 46 16 12 9 9
13 chuckbiscuits 40 9 8 10 13
14 Tres_Tristes_Tigres 37 14 8 6 9
15 Airos 33 9 13 11 0
16 GreyHouseEffect 32 9 0 7 16
17 Westsider13 29 8 12 9 0

Congratulations to Columbian_Southsider77, who was our winner for September and October. They finished top three in each of the four matches, including sharing the lead for the LA Galaxy match. They join our other monthly winners this season.

  • March: AmandaC, CascadiaCrunchFC, tecate, & Westsider13 (53 Points)
  • April: CapsOnTheDrive (65 Points)
  • May: IslandLife (113 Points)
  • July: Westsider13 (97 Points)
  • August: Isabelt (95 Points)
  • September/October: Columbian_Southsider77 (60)

Finally, we have the Second Half Standings. I was hoping that withholding the scores the final few matches would increase the drama in a way as people would not know what they needed to ‘win’. However, as I mentioned last week, I believe, it ended up being anti-climatic as there was a BIG lead.

Second Half Standings (Final)

Ranking User Total Score Match #18 Match #19 Match #20 Match #21 Match #22 Match #23 Match #24 Match #25 Match #26 Match #27 Match #28 Match #29 Match #30 Match #31 Match #32 Match #33 Match #34
Ranking User Total Score Match #18 Match #19 Match #20 Match #21 Match #22 Match #23 Match #24 Match #25 Match #26 Match #27 Match #28 Match #29 Match #30 Match #31 Match #32 Match #33 Match #34
1 Isabelt 204 10 12 14 7 13 15 10 12 15 15 20 16 17 9 17 7 9
2 CascadiaCrunchFC 194 10 15 11 7 13 15 9 10 15 12 16 13 16 10 17 7 12
3 Island Life 190 10 0 14 7 12 15 0 17 17 10 11 15 16 19 10 8 9
4 Westsider13 189 9 15 16 14 11 17 8 9 14 11 19 15 14 8 9 6 0
5 Columbian_Southsider77 188 0 10 9 7 12 14 6 17 17 11 20 0 17 16 12 8 12
6 edmondk 185 11 12 13 8 12 17 8 10 17 12 17 17 0 9 10 8 12
6 GreyHouseEffect 185 12 0 13 12 12 17 0 10 17 11 20 12 17 9 0 7 16
8 AshMan77 182 9 9 6 8 12 9 12 16 14 14 20 9 8 14 19 7 9
9 chuckbiscuits 179 9 12 14 8 12 19 8 17 15 12 12 9 13 9 8 7 10
9 tecate 179 14 10 8 14 13 9 7 11 14 19 14 10 13 12 9 8 9
11 AmandaC 178 10 12 14 6 11 15 8 10 9 12 15 10 14 10 19 8 9
12 CDPrior 174 19 9 8 7 8 11 9 19 14 14 14 0 8 14 10 7 10
13 hbamaral 173 19 12 14 7 5 9 8 12 17 9 14 9 9 13 12 6 9
13 Tres_Tristes_Tigres 173 12 10 13 7 7 9 10 16 16 12 14 9 14 14 8 6 9
15 AtlantisB 166 10 12 14 8 6 9 8 10 14 9 14 10 16 15 8 8 9
15 rtomsheck 166 10 9 9 8 6 12 8 16 0 17 14 10 8 17 9 7 12
17 Airos 160 9 11 14 7 0 8 10 11 11 9 14 16 13 9 10 8 0
18 ZTJ9901 75 12 12 9 8 13 12 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 The Squirrel 70 12 10 0 13 0 0 8 0 12 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
20 CapsOnTheDrive 51 9 10 13 7 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 Stick of butter 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 Jitsuo 24 10 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 JStebeck 15 0 0 8 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Congrats to Isabelt, who ran away with the contest, beating CascadiaCrunchFC by 10 points (204 to 194)! Interestingly, they scored the same amount of points as our first half winner Island Life.

As you know, I enjoy statistics, so as usual I have all the individual stats for you as well.

Second Half Summary

Name Lineup Perfect Lineups Winner Score Lineup Bonus Monthly Bonus
Name Lineup Perfect Lineups Winner Score Lineup Bonus Monthly Bonus
Airos 8.47 1 4 0.47 6 9
AmandaC 8.65 1 5 0.82 6 9
AshMan77 8.53 3 6 0.53 11 12
AtlantisB 8.41 1 4 0.76 4 6
CapsOnTheDrive 6.5 0 2 0.33 0 0
CascadiaCrunchFC 8.47 0 9 0.94 3 15
CDPrior 9 2 4 0.5 9 12
chuckbiscuits 8.41 0 6 1 4 6
Columbian_Southsider77 8.73 2 7 0.87 9 21
edmondk 8.81 0 6 0.94 7 18
GreyHouseEffect 8.71 1 9 0.79 7 9
hbamaral 8.53 1 5 0.71 7 6
Isabelt 8.82 2 8 1.18 8 9
Island Life 8.67 0 8 1.13 3 12
Jitsuo 8.5 0 1 1 0 0
JStebeck 7.5 0 0 0 0 3
rtomsheck 8.69 1 3 0.69 7 9
Stick of butter 10 1 1 0.5 3 0
tecate 9 3 5 0.29 11 18
The Squirrel 8.5 0 2 1.17 2 3
Tres_Tristes_Tigres 8.59 1 5 0.47 7 9
Westsider13 8.38 0 10 0.81 3 12
ZTJ9901 8.86 0 1 0.71 3 3

Of those making regular predictions, CDPrior and tecate were the best with their lineup predictions, scoring an average of 9/11. tecate, along with AshMan77 led the way with three perfect lineup predictions. Meanwhile, Westider13 (10), GreyHouseEffect (9), and CascadiaCrunchFC (9) were the best at predicting the winner. Sometimes predicting the score can be a bit of a crap-shoot, but five people averaged more than one point per match. Isabelt narrowly led the way with an average of 1.18. Finally, we have our monthly bonus category. First, thanks to all of you for your suggestions. I will make sure to keep them around for next season. We might need to narrow that possession window as it seemed everyone did far too well on that :P. However, across the second half, the person who did the best was Columbian_Southsider77, who managed 21 ‘monthly’ bonus points.

Congrats to all of our best, and to all of us who played but were terrible (just glad I wasn’t last!). We will be back next season. Also, if you have any suggestions for mixing it up next season let me know in the comments and we can look at implementing them.